The life sciences industry is at an inflection point. By 2030, one in six people globally will be aged 60 years or over, and the population aged 80 and older is expected to triple by 2050. For life science leaders, this demographic transformation is not merely a healthcare challenge to manage; it represents one of the most significant strategic opportunities of the next decade. Companies that understand longevity as a core growth thesis, rather than a narrow geriatrics niche, will capture disproportionate value and shape the future of the industry.[1][2]

What longevity really means for the healthcare ecosystem

Longevity is shifting from simply adding years of life to extending "healthspan," the period of life spent in good health with functional independence. We are beginning to see a paradigm shift from disease-focused treatments to those that address the underlying mechanisms of aging, biological systems, and wellness. This distinction matters enormously for strategy. Companies that design around functional outcomes rather than age alone will find:

  • Larger addressable markets

  • Stronger value propositions

  • More durable competitive positions[2]

The longevity economy, defined by the rising economic and social participation of people aged 50 and above, contributed $45 trillion to global GDP in 2020, representing approximately 34% of total GDP. This figure is growing, especially as older adults become a key force in consumer and healthcare markets. The global anti-aging market, valued at approximately $85 billion in 2025, is expected to surpass $120 billion by 2030. For life science organizations, the strategic imperative is clear: longevity is not a specialty segment but a lens through which portfolio, evidence, and commercial strategies must be evaluated.[3][4]

The demographic turning point: What the 2030s look like

The numbers are striking. By 2030, the share of the global population aged 60 years and over will increase from 1 billion in 2020 to 1.4 billion. By 2050, the world's population of people aged 60 years and older will double to 2.1 billion, and persons aged 80 years or older will triple to reach 426 million.[1]

In the United States, the shift is equally pronounced. By 2030, one in five people, or more than 20% of the population, will be over 65 years of age, amounting to approximately 71 million older Americans. The number of Americans ages 65 and older is projected to increase from 58 million in 2022 to 82 million by 2050. By 2040, the 85 and older population is projected to more than double, from 6.5 million in 2022 to 13.7 million. Older adults in 2022 already represented 17% of the U.S. population, and by 2040 they are projected to comprise 22%.[5][6][7]

These projections are not hypothetical. All baby boomers will be age 65 or older by 2030, representing the largest such cohort in U.S. history. For life science companies, this means the patient populations, clinical trial participants, and end users of therapeutics and devices will increasingly be older adults with complex, multi-morbid profiles.[8]

System-wide pain points: Pressure on an already stretched ecosystem

The aging trajectory creates pressure at every level of the healthcare system. Common conditions in older age include hearing loss, cataracts, back and neck pain, osteoarthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, depression, and dementia. As people age, they are more likely to experience several conditions at the same time, a reality that complicates treatment regimens, increases polypharmacy risks, and creates fragmented care journeys.[1]

The healthcare workforce faces acute strain. About 70 percent of American adults aged 65 and older will need some form of long-term care in the future. Yet the caregiver shortage is severe, with approximately 718,900 openings for home health and personal care aides projected each year over the next decade. Seventeen percent of Americans provide unpaid care to adults over the age of 50, spending on average 23.7 hours a week managing care. Despite caregivers' crucial role in managing their loved ones' health, federal and state support for unpaid caregivers remains inadequate, leading to mental health struggles, physical exhaustion, and financial insecurity.[9][10]

Older Americans face a growing caregiving gap, especially those with lower incomes and dementia. Demand for elder care is expected to increase sharply with a rise in the number of Americans living with Alzheimer's disease, which could more than double by 2050 to 13 million, from 6 million today. These system-wide pressures directly affect life science companies: pricing scrutiny intensifies, evidence requirements become more demanding, and the need for holistic solutions that go beyond the pill grows.[6]

Patient centricity, redefined for the longevity era

Patient centricity for older adults requires a fundamental rethinking of how therapies, services, and digital tools are conceived and delivered. Evidence suggests that the proportion of life in good health has remained broadly constant, implying that additional years are often in poor health. If added years are dominated by declines in physical and mental capacity, the implications for older people and for society are more negative.[1]

True patient centricity in the longevity era means designing around function, autonomy, and burden of treatment, not just satisfaction scores. This includes regimen complexity, caregiver impact, and digital usability. From a pharma perspective, patient centricity is about focusing as much on the patient journey and overall quality of life as it is on making sure patients can access treatments that address their symptoms. This shift will require a dynamic flow of data and information to empower patients and their caregivers to make informed decisions about their care.[11][1]

Addressing the unmet care and technical support needs of an aging population and designing services and solutions around the needs or desires of older adults is becoming an urgent public health priority. For life science companies, this means integrating patient input into clinical trial design, developing simplified regimens, and ensuring digital support tools are accessible and usable for older populations.[12]

Wearables, RWE, and the new evidence frontier

A critical shift is underway in how evidence is generated and used for older populations. Wearable devices offer real-time monitoring of physiological parameters such as heart rate, blood pressure, step count, and sleep quality, providing data support for disease warning and health management. Research on wearable devices for the elderly has grown rapidly, with an annual publication growth rate of 7.65% from 2014 to 2024, reflecting global attention to these capabilities.[12]

The integration of smart wearable devices with intelligent healthcare technologies contributes to improving the accessibility and efficiency of medical services, enabling data-driven precision health management and optimizing health service models for the elderly. Fall risk assessment and prevention remain critical challenges in elderly health management, with wearable devices achieving accuracy comparable to traditional manual assessment while reducing human error.[12]

Importantly, future cohorts of older adults will be more digitally literate than stereotypes suggest. Education levels among older Americans are increasing; among people ages 65 and older in 1965, only 5% had completed four years of college or more, and by 2023, this share had risen to 33%. This rising digital literacy, combined with technology adoption, creates continuous real-world data streams that life science companies can leverage.[6]

The FDA has a long history of using real-world data and real-world evidence to monitor and evaluate the postmarket safety of approved drugs. RWE has also been used historically to support effectiveness, and advances in the availability and analysis of RWD have increased the potential for generating robust RWE to support FDA regulatory decisions. Recent FDA regulatory approvals have utilized RWD from sources including medical records, registries, and claims data for confirmatory evidence and even pivotal studies. For older, multi-morbid populations where traditional randomized controlled trials are difficult to conduct, RWE becomes an essential tool for demonstrating real-world value.[13]

The evolving care ecosystem: From facility-centric to distributed

The care ecosystem for older adults is transforming from hospital-centric models to distributed, home-based, and digitally connected networks. In 2025, the U.S. home care market is projected to generate over $107 billion in revenue, driven by a rapidly aging population, caregiver shortages, and a cultural shift toward aging in place.[9]

This ecosystem includes primary specialists, allied health professionals, community services, caregivers, and digitally connected family members coordinated around the older person. More older adults can meet their daily care needs, as older adults are functioning better on their own and a shrinking share are living in nursing homes and assisted living settings than a decade ago. Home modifications and assistive devices such as walkers have helped older Americans maintain their independence.[6][1]

For life science companies, this distribution of care creates new decision points and influencers. Caregivers and facilities become critical channels, and data flows across settings redefine how value is measured and rewarded. The key to transforming the future of senior care lies in delivering an innovative, integrated experience for both seniors and caregivers. Companies that understand and engage this distributed ecosystem will have an advantage in market access, adherence, and brand trust.[10]

Strategic implications for leaders in the life sciences

The longevity imperative raises four fundamental strategic questions with the greatest potential for impact on market performance and ROI.

  • Are you designing evidence strategies that capture real-world value in older, complex populations? Traditional clinical trials often underrepresent older, multi-morbid patients. Yet these populations constitute a growing share of the market. Companies that build robust RWE programs leveraging wearables, registries, and integrated data sources will be better positioned for regulatory approvals, label expansions, and value-based contracting. The FDA's increasing acceptance of RWE for regulatory decision-making signals an opportunity for companies that invest early.[14][13]

  • Are you building products and services that reduce treatment burden and support functional outcomes? Older patients and their caregivers increasingly have choice and voice. Products designed with simplified regimens, digital support, and caregiver considerations will achieve better adherence, outcomes, and brand preference. McKinsey research indicates that for every $1 invested in healthy aging interventions, $3 may be returned to society via economic and healthcare benefits. Companies that align product design with this value equation will differentiate.[15]

  • Are you engaging caregivers, facilities, and home-based care providers as strategic stakeholders? The distributed care ecosystem means influence and decision-making are spread across family caregivers, home health teams, and community organizations. Life science companies that develop engagement models, education resources, and partnership strategies for these stakeholders will gain access and loyalty that competitors miss. Enhanced engagement with caregivers and facilities improves care coordination and patient experience.[10]

  • Are you leveraging technology platforms to integrate data across the care continuum? Wearable devices, mHealth apps, and connected sensors are generating continuous data on older patients. Companies that build infrastructure to capture, analyze, and act on this data will gain insights into adherence, functional status, and treatment response that inform everything from trial design to market strategy. The integration of AI and machine learning into wearable device analytics is enabling personalized health interventions.[12]

Assessing readiness and stress-testing your strategy

Before deploying resources toward longevity-focused initiatives, leaders must ask the right diagnostic questions to evaluate organizational readiness and identify gaps in current strategy roadmaps.

  • What is your organization's readiness for these market shifts? This question requires honest assessment of current portfolio exposure to aging-related therapeutic areas, existing data infrastructure, caregiver engagement capabilities, and organizational knowledge of older patient populations. Companies may find significant gaps between current operating models and the requirements of a longevity-focused strategy.

  • Does your current pipeline reflect the disease burden and treatment needs of aging populations? Evaluate whether clinical development programs are designed with older, multi-morbid patients in mind and whether regulatory and evidence strategies account for the complexity of this population. Therapeutic areas have experienced uneven progress in the past 15 years. Cancer and cardiovascular disease have seen significant advances in extending both life span and healthspan through improved prevention and treatment. In contrast, respiratory, neurological, musculoskeletal, and metabolic diseases have seen worsening outcomes, with more patients experiencing longer periods of disability and premature mortality. These declines are driven by worsening lifestyle factors, such as rising obesity and type 2 diabetes, combined with the aging population itself, which increases the prevalence of age-related conditions.[2]

  • Are your market models and forecasts incorporating the demographic realities of the 2030s? Many market models still use historical assumptions that underweight the speed and scale of population aging. Stress-testing revenue projections, market access assumptions, and competitive positioning against demographic scenarios is essential.

  • What is your competitive exposure if a peer moves decisively on longevity? Assess which competitors are already investing in aging-focused strategies, RWE infrastructure, or digital health partnerships. First-mover advantages in this space could be significant, particularly for chronic disease areas with long patient journeys.

  • What cross-functional alignment is required to execute a longevity strategy? Longevity-focused initiatives typically span R&D, commercial, medical affairs, market access, and digital functions. Evaluate whether organizational structures, incentives, and governance models support cross-functional collaboration at the required scale.

How to prepare and differentiate now

A phased roadmap can guide life science companies from diagnosis to deployment.

  • Diagnose the current state. Map current portfolio and patient journeys against aging trends and data gaps. Identify where older, complex patients are underserved, where evidence is insufficient, and where competitive opportunities exist. This diagnostic phase should involve quantitative analysis of portfolio exposure combined with qualitative insight into patient and caregiver needs.

  • Design longevity-ready offerings. Prioritize age-ready offerings, including simplified regimens, service wraps, and digital supports. Develop evidence plans that incorporate RWE from wearables, home-based monitoring, and registries. Ensure clinical development programs include older, multi-morbid patients and that labeling strategies reflect real-world use.

  • Deploy through partnerships and pilots. Pilot longevity-focused models through partnerships with health systems, technology providers, and patient organizations. Scale successful pilots using agile market access strategies and continuous learning. Build measurement frameworks that capture both clinical and functional outcomes.

Throughout this roadmap, technology serves as an enabler, not a standalone strategy. The most effective approaches integrate advanced analytics, digital platforms, and AI into strategic decision-making and operational execution, making technology work for business strategy rather than the other way around.[16]

The leadership moment

The rise of the longevity economy presents both a challenge and a once-in-a-generation opportunity. Given the world's changing demographics, society stands at an inflection point where the aging paradigm can be transformed from a societal burden to a dynamic opportunity for economic and social growth. Leaders who design for the 100-year life today will own the most resilient, trusted brands tomorrow.[15]

Companies that develop a long-term longevity strategy will be in the best position to influence and shift the existing paradigm. Whether they pursue M&A to gain key know-how, partner with startups and academic institutions, or leverage their own core competencies, these companies will be better able to compete as they help bring about a future of aging and health in which humans live healthier and longer lives than ever before.[2]

The question for life science leaders is not whether these demographic shifts will occur, but whether your organization will be positioned to lead in the longevity era or be disrupted by those who move first.

References

  1. World Health Organization. "Ageing and Health." https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/ageing-and-health

  2. Zhi, Haojun and Mariia Zolotova. "Wearable Devices & Elderly: A Bibliometric Analysis of 2014-2024." Healthcare (Basel), 2025. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12386111/

  3. U.S. Census Bureau. "By 2030, All Baby Boomers Will Be Age 65 or Older." https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/12/by-2030-all-baby-boomers-will-be-age-65-or-older.html

  4. Administration for Community Living. "2023 Profile of Older Americans." https://acl.gov/sites/default/files/Profile of OA/ACL_ProfileOlderAmericans2023_508.pdf

  5. Cooper Center. "National 50-state Population Projections: 2030, 2040, 2050." https://www.coopercenter.org/research/national-50-state-population-projections-2030-2040-2050

  6. Population Reference Bureau. "Fact Sheet: Aging in the United States." https://www.prb.org/resources/fact-sheet-aging-in-the-united-states/

  7. Gabelli. "The Longevity Boom: Opportunities in Anti-Aging." https://gabelli.com/research/the-longevity-boom-opportunities-in-anti-aging/

  8. PRN Funding. "Senior Boom Impacts the Demand for Home Healthcare Services." https://prnfunding.com/senior-boom-impacts-the-demand-for-home-healthcare-services/

  9. Pharmacy Times. "Pharma Can Help Transform Patient Centricity in 2024." https://www.pharmacytimes.com/view/pharma-can-help-transform-patient-centricity-in-2024

  10. McKinsey Health Institute. "The Economic Case for Investing in Healthy Aging: Lessons From the United States." https://www.mckinsey.com/mhi/our-insights/the-economic-case-for-investing-in-healthy-aging-lessons-from-the-united-states

  11. Orion Health. "Rethinking Ageing: Embracing the Rise of the Longevity Economy." https://orionhealth.com/us/blog/rethinking-ageing-embracing-the-rise-of-the-longevity-economy/

  12. Talon Group Consulting. "How We Work." https://www.talongroup.consulting/how-we-work

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